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So the world has to move away from the burning of fossil fuels as a way of generating electricity.
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The main reason that nuclear is not a viable response to high emissions is that its cost is much higher than sustainable, renewable alternatives. Conspicuously, almost all recent nuclear power stations built in the Western world have gone way over their budgeted cost and taken far longer to build than originally envisaged.
This page was written with an international readership in mind, but it was written by an Australian with, naturally, a particular interest in that nation.
Cost - and other questions regarding nuclear power
The questions:
Apart from the costs there are ethical arguments; the way nuclear power is used at present about 1% of the available energy in the uranium is used and the remaining 99% goes out with the waste. (The 235U is used, the great bulk of the uranium, most of the 238U is wasted; it could all be used.) Is this fair to future generations? Also, we use the energy and leave the waste for future generations to look after. Nuclear power can be used to generate electricity, and there is no release of greenhouse gasses during the generation process, although mining, concentrating, and refining uranium, as it is done today, does consume large amounts of fossil fuels and produces corresponding amounts of greenhouse carbon dioxide. Nuclear power is not a substitute for the petroleum that is running out; it is not suitable for powering transport except for possible use in shipping.
If nuclear power was economically competitive, why do nuclear power stations have to be subsidised by tax-payers?If it was the cheapest option then we should be able to leave the building and running of new nuclear power stations to private enterprise. Of course it would have to be a whole package, part of the deal would be the locking away of appropriate sums of money for decommissioning of reactors at the end of their useful life and for the safe long-term storage or disposal of all radioactive materials. Disposal of radioactive waste, in particular, is difficult to cost because it must ensure that the material is kept out of the active environment for several thousand years or even more.I strongly suspect that no company would be interested in taking full financial responsibility for the whole life of a nuclear power station and the waste; the amount of money that they would have to lock away would be too large and would make the whole operation economically unviable. If building and running nuclear power stations is economically unviable for private enterprise why should our governments take it on and we the tax payers foot the bills? Private industry is willing to build sustainable power generation facilities – wind, solar and geothermal – that are comparable in cost to fossil-fuelled power stations when the cost of pollution or the proper disposal of waste is taken into consideration. Conserving energy and using electricity more efficiently is by far the best way that we can reduce our greenhouse impact. What really is the attraction of nuclear power stations to Western nations? Is it that some people short-sightedly see nuclear as a real saviour, or are there hidden agendas? I must admit that I don't know the whole answer, but a part of the answer seems to be that while many people realise that fossil fuels have to be phased-out they simply don't like renewable energy; they see it as a do-gooder, greeny, leftist thing.
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Wind and solar power are where the future of energy generation lie
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A small part of Snowtown Wind Farm near my home in Mid-North South Australia
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Advantages of nuclear power
Disadvantages of nuclear power
First I've just listed the disadvantages, then I've given fuller explanations of each
Explanations of the disadvantages of nuclear power
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Viable and credible nuclear power
Wind and nuclear power in China
"In China, wind power is leaving nuclear behind. Electricity output from China's wind farms exceeded that from its nuclear plants for the first time in 2012, by a narrow margin. Then in 2013, wind pulled away-outdoing nuclear by 22 percent. The 135 terawatt-hours of Chinese wind-generated electricity in 2013 would be nearly enough to power New York State."This seems to be a demonstration that nuclear power is simply not an economically viable option any more, irrespective of its environmental questions and advantages or disadvantages.
Decommissioning costNot many nuclear power stations have been fully decommissioned, certainly it is difficult to obtain reliable figures on decommissioning costs.In a report to the UK Parliament titled "The Nuclear Decommissioning Authority’s management of the Magnox contract" it was stated that: "The cost of the long-term liability to decommission the UK’s civil nuclear sites now stands at £132 billion..."That's worth emphasising, £132 billion (Aud$236b, US$183b). It's an eye-watering amount, and it is only for decommissioning. And we all know that costs tend to increase as the job gets done. The US Energy Information Administration produced a report on decommissioning titled 'Decommissioning nuclear reactors is a long-term and costly process' in November 2017. Quoting from that document: "One of the most recently decommissioned reactors in the United States is the 619 megawatt (MW) Haddam Neck plant in central Connecticut, which was shut down in 1997 and decommissioned using the DECON method. Haddam Neck’s decommissioning was completed in 2007 at a total cost of $893 million." Wikipedia, 2017/01/24, listed estimated decommissioning costs varying from US$153 million to US$514 million per reactor. In the USA 'in-situ decommissioning', that is the entombment of nuclear power stations cost US$73 million for two reactors. Whether leaving the reactors in place indefinitely can truly be called 'decommissioning' is highly questionable. Wikipedia stated that: "In 2016 the European Commission assessed that European Union's nuclear decommissioning liabilities were seriously underfunded by about 118 billion euros, with only 150 billion euros of earmarked assets to cover 268 billion euros of expected decommissioning costs covering both dismantling of nuclear plants and storage of radioactive parts and waste." The cleaning up of mines at the ends of their useful lives has historically been seriously underfunded; often leaving a large part of the costs to be covered by tax-payers. Can we have any confidence that the decommissioning of nuclear power stations will be properly funded?
Changing to the responsible use of uraniumIf the world was to change from using just the 0.7% 235U in uranium to using 100% of it (including the 'harder to burn' 238U) there would be so much nuclear fuel available around the world, from old nuclear fuels, depleted uranium stock-piles, etc., that there would probably be no need to mine uranium for a hundred years. This would not be good for the big uranium mining companies; they would resist such a move as strongly as they possibly could, and companies like BHP have a lot of push with governments.
Fukushima nuclear power station, Japan
Apparently the tsunami was a metre or so higher than the largest that was planned for! Why not allow a ten or twenty metre safety margin rather than a metre or so? There seems to have been little planning for backup cooling in emergencies. How difficult can it be to plan for several alternative ways of getting a flow of cooling water into a power station?
No doubt it's easy to criticise from a distance.
What will it mean to the future of nuclear power?As I write this (2011/03/31) it seems very likely that the meltdown and nuclear contamination at Fukushima will strengthen the anti-nuclear lobby and make nuclear power more unpopular world-wide. The alternatives are:
USA turns away from nuclearUS utility dumps nuclear September 2017Joe Romm wrote for RenewEconomy on 2017/09/01 about Duke Energy in Florida announcing that it would terminate all plans to build its Levy Nuclear Project and instead invest $6 billion in solar energy, smart meters, and grid modernization as well as electric vehicle (EV) charging stations and a battery storage pilot program.Part built power stations abandoned August 2017Here is yet another reason to not build nuclear power stations: quoting from an article in RenewEconomy –The so-called "nuclear renaissance" in the United States has had another major setback, with another two nuclear reactors under construction in South Carolina abandoned after costs spiralled out of control, leaving consumers holding the bill for plants that will never be completed.Procon, 2017/08/04, reported: "On Monday July 31, the South Carolina Electric and Gas Company announced that it was abandoning construction on two new nuclear power reactors at the V.C. Summer Nuclear Station in Jenkinsville, SC due to cost overruns and delays in construction.
Thorium instead of uranium?There are some advantages (and disadvantages) in using thorium to fuel a nuclear power station rather than uranium. Whether these will prove sufficient to make thorium a viable source of non-polluting power remains to be seen.Thorium is more plentiful in the earth's crust than is uranium, but the naturally occurring thorium isotope is not fissile so it must be placed in a uranium powered reactor to change the non-fissile isotope to a fissile isotope before it can produce electricity. Thorium fuelled nuclear power stations would suffer from a number of the problems of uranium fuelled stations: embrittlement, no recycling of materials, very high cost of decommissioning, etc. A research paper written by Greg Baker for the Australian parliament in 2007-8 contained the following in its Executive Summary:
I gather that at the time of writing (June 2021) there are no power stations using thorium as the main fuel anywhere in the world. Quoting from Wikipedia: "Between 1999 and 2021, the number of operational thorium reactors in the world has risen from zero, to a handful of research reactors, to commercial plans for producing full-scale thorium-based reactors for use as power plants on a national scale."
Thorium cannot at present be considered as a serious contender for producing a substantial part of the world's power demands.
Nuclear failures are numerous and hugely expensive
World growth in nuclear power has stalledIn an article for the PV Magazine written by Emiliano Bellini, and published 2021/09/28 it was pointed out that the "world’s operational nuclear capacity grew by just 400 MW [0.4 GW] in 2020, with generation falling by 4%." Bellini went on "By contrast, renewables grew by 256 GW and clean energy production rose by 13%." (That situation has not improved at all for nuclear by 2023.)Bellini was referring to the World Nuclear Industry Status Report, published by French nuclear consultant Mycle Schneider. Bellini wrote "According to the report, the levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of solar PV dropped by approximately 90% over the past few years, while the LCOE of nuclear energy climbed by around 33%." The Record-Breaking Failures of Nuclear PowerAn article for Counter Punch written by Linda Gunter and published 2021/09/24 was headlined The Record-Breaking Failures of Nuclear Power. Gunter started by writing that the Tennessee Valley Authority had taken 42 years to build and bring on line Watts Bar Unit 2 nuclear power reactor in Tennessee. She went on: "Watts Bar 2 achieved criticality in May 2016, then promptly came off line due to a transformer fire three months later."Gunter also wrote that "Now, almost five years later [than the Watts Bar story], TVA has announced it has abandoned its unfinished two-reactor Bellefonte nuclear plant in Alabama, a breathtaking 47 years after construction began." The article went on: "... of the 30 reactors the [US nuclear] industry planned to build 15 years ago with the so-called nuclear renaissance, only two are still being built. (Those two, at Plant Vogtle in Georgia, are years behind schedule with a budget that has more than doubled to $27 billion.)" Wikipedia has an article on the Bellefonte nuclear plant.
And then, of course, there were the two part built nuclear power stations abandoned in South Carolina back in 2017, detailed in another section on this page.
Which nations are getting out of nuclear power?Extracted from Wikipedia: Nuclear power phase-out;"Following the March 2011 Fukushima nuclear disaster, Germany has permanently shut down eight of its 17 reactors and pledged to close the rest by the end of 2022. Italy voted overwhelmingly to keep their country non-nuclear. Switzerland and Spain have banned the construction of new reactors.
Nuclear power in AustraliaIn 2019 there was no nuclear electricity generation in Australia but there was a push from some people for the development of nuclear power.Those who are advocating nuclear power are often the same people who are opposing the further development of renewable power. My impression is that these people know that we have to reduce greenhouse emissions, but they have some sort of ideological disliking for renewable energy (for whatever reason), so they see nuclear as a way out of what would otherwise be a dilemma for them. The fact is that Australia's energy future is in renewables, as has been amply shown by South Australia's great success in adopting renewables. Those in the pro-nuclear lobby, not surprisingly, either are ignorant of, or not willing to address the questions of:
As if to demonstrate this fact, in January 2022 there was a proposal for the building of a number of small modular nuclear power stations in Australia, one of which would be near my home and all of which would be in highly populated areas. I have discussed below why nuclear power is not needed in Australia, one of the main reasons being that we have huge and largely untapped renewable energy resources. It is also not wanted in Australia.
Nuclear power is not needed in AustraliaNuclear power (as in the proposal mentioned above, or anywhere else) is not needed in Australia, it is unpopular, it is expensive and it is slow to build. Nuclear power stations are inflexible in the amount of power that they generate; as we move toward 100% renewable energy what we need to supplement that is power on demand - such as from batteries or pumped hydro energy storage.
In the graph the green is wind power and the yellow above the green is solar power; both, of course, renewable. The shades of orange are gas-fired power, the brown is coal-fired, and the purple on the bottom is imported power from the eastern states. SA's last coal-fired power station shut down in May 2016.
What SA has done, the other Australian states could also do. Western Australia has been slow to take up renewable energy but it seems that is changing. For example, news of a proposed 500 MW wind farm of the coast of Perth was published in WA Today on 2022/01/10 (the day before I wrote this section). Even the WA Liberals aim to close all coal-fired power stations by 2025
Nuclear power is not wanted in AustraliaA Lowy Institute poll was conducted in 2011. It showed that when asked "Are you personally in favour or against Australia building nuclear power plants as part of its plans to cut greenhouse gas emissions? Is that strongly or somewhat?" 46% said they were strongly against and another 16% were somewhat against (a total of 62% against). 22% were somewhat in favour, only 13% were strongly in favour.
Small modular (nuclear) reactorsAs an explanation of exactly what small modular nuclear reactors are, I suggest Wikipedia. As of 2023 it seems that there are only three operating SMRs in the world, two in Russia and one in China. So it is far too early for anyone to provide an accurate estimate of what the cost of electricity might be from SMRs in the medium to long term.It seems that the pro-nuclear power lobby has latched onto SMRs since conventional full-size nuclear power stations have been shown to be economically uncompetitive with wind and solar PV power generation. Small Modular Nuclear Reactors Are Mostly Bad Policy; an article written for CleanTechnica by Michael Barnard, 2021/05/03. Quoting from the CleanTechnica article: Small modular reactors have been proposed for electricity generation for several years now, but very few have actually been built.
Small modular nuclear reactors dreamEx Australian independent Senator Rex Patrick wrote an article titled Dutton’s Nuclear Folly: Small Modular Reactors a political mirage for Michael West Media on 2023/07/23. As Mr Patrick pointed out, small modular nuclear reactors are no more than a dream in 2023.Quoting Mr Patrick: "Russia has packaged two low powered nuclear ice breaker reactors in a floating barge to claim a first SMR. China has a demonstration SMR in Shidaowan. Apart from that, they don’t exist."Mr Patrick gave figures from a study by the CSIRO indicating that power from solar and on-shore wind farms would cost about $50/MWh while electricity from small modular nuclear reactors would cost between $150 and $300/MWh in 2030. Also see similar costings in Cost of Electricity in my page on electricity prices. At the time of writing Peter Dutton was the leader of the Liberal Party opposition in Australia. As I've written elsewhere the federal Liberal Party has a policy of opposing renewable energy. This seems to be at the level of an obsession or a crusade and is deeply ingrained into the character of many in the federal parliamentary liberal party. Perhaps they receive their deluded beliefs from the right wing shock jocks such as Andrew Bolt and Alan Jones?
Eleven proposed nuclear power stations; another dream
One of these would be on Point Grey about seven kilometres from my home in Erskine, a Mandurah suburb. (I suspect that the Nuclear for Climate group are unaware that the average depth of the lagoons that would supply the cooling water is only about 2 metres. Quite unsuitable for the purpose. There would be serious environmental problems with dumping the required amount of waste heat into them.) Others in the 'probables' group are proposed for Tamala Park, a northern Perth suburb, Kwinana, Harvey and apparently a couple near Collie.
Example cases of why nuclear power stations are economically unviable in the modern worldConversation article on Nuclear for AustraliaIs nuclear the answer to Australia’s climate crisis? The Conversation, written by Reuben Finighan, PhD candidate at the London School of Economics and Research Fellow at the Superpower Institute, The University of Melbourne.A quote from the Conversation article: There are four arguments against investment in nuclear power: Olkiluoto 3, Flamanville 3, Hinkley Point C, and Vogtle. These are the four major latest-generation plants completed or near completion in Finland, the United States, the United Kingdom and France respectively.Mr Finighan went on to give the current cost of nuclear power to be between Aud$220 and $350 per Megawatt hour (MWh) while the cost of wind and solar power to be between $35 and $45/MWh. Firming (that is, using energy storage to make the power available at any time) would add another $25 to $34/MWh. "In short, a reliable megawatt hour from renewables costs around a fifth of one from a nuclear plant."
Elsewhere on this page see the nuclear power station construction projects abandoned due to cost overruns. More on Hinkley Point C - UK; an economic disasterAt the time of writing Hinkley Point C nuclear power station was under construction in the UK.The following information was extracted from the Wikipedia article linked to above. It was one of eight announced by the British government in 2010. As of October 2020, Hinkley is the only one of the eight designated sites to have commenced construction.(The above prices were apparently in 2012 pounds. £92.5=Aud$172. One pound = Aud$1.86. They apparently don't include the enormous costs of eventual decommissioning. From reading elsewhere on the Internet it seems that the £92.5 amount is the wholesale electricity price.)
Hinkley Point C power station is taking 18 years to build; a wind farm can be built in 18 months. Power from Hinkley will cost Aud$172/MWh, the wholesale cost of South Australian wind power in 2021 was $43/MWh. (According to the AEMO 2023 report average spot prices for electricity in SA were $33/MWh.)
More on Olkiluoto Island, Finland; an economic disasterAt 2024/05/28 Wikipedia gave Finland's electricity generation by source as:
Olkiluoto Island Unit 3 is Finland's most recent nuclear power plant. Its story is long and complicated. I'll confine myself here to reporting that at one time the owner and operator Teollisuuden Voima (TVO) was demanding €1.8 billion in compensation from the main contractor, Areva and Areva was demanding €2.6 billion from TVO over cost overruns, delays and other matters. Olkiluoto Island nuclear power station is also mention in the Conversation article on Nuclear for Australia, above. Wikipedia has a very detailed article on the power station and its history. Also worth a look it the ABC Media Watch - Nuclear Fantasy.
References/related pagesExternal references
New Nuclear Power Plants Are Unlikely to Stop the Climate Crisis; Scientific American, by Naomi Oreskes, February 2022 Issue.
Naomi Oreskes is Henry Charles Lea Professor of the History of Science and Affiliated Professor of Earth and Planetary Sciences at Harvard University.
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Dr Jim Green's researchNuclear Power’s Economic Crisis and its Implications for Australia, published in December 2021 for Friends of the Earth (FoE) Australia.In 2022, nuclear power’s future looks grimmer than ever, a summary of the FoE paper published by RenewEconomy, 2022/01/11, also by Dr Green. "Nuclear power generation declined in 2021 and the industry’s future is grimmer than it has ever been."Dr Green writes a long list of nuclear financial disasters and failed plans. |
Related pages
Some note on ethics
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IndexHomeOn this page... Advantages of nuclear power Changing to responsible use of uranium Conversation article on Nuclear for Australia Cost - and other questions regarding nuclear power Decommissioning cost Disadvantages of nuclear power Eleven proposed nuclear power stations; another dream Example cases of nuclear power's economic unviability Hinkley Point C - UK Olkiluoto Island, Finland Fukushima Hinkley Point C - UK; an economic disaster Nuclear failures are numerous and hugely expensive Nuclear power in Australia Nuclear power is not needed in Australia Nuclear power is not wanted in Australia Olkiluoto Island, Finland; an economic disaster Olympic Dam Mine Part built power stations abandoned Pronunciation of nuclear Reactors, small modular References/related pages Small modular reactors Small modular nuclear reactors dream Proposed small modular nuclear power stations Thorium instead of uranium? Top USA turns away from nuclear US utility dumps nuclear Viable nuclear power Which nations are getting out of nuclear power? Wind and nuclear power in China |